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Dispersion – A Guide for the Clueless

28 Mar 2015

Article by: FDAXHunter
Published by: Capital Structure Demolition LLC
Date: Jul 2004

“Once upon a time dispersion trading desks used to be the kings (and queens) of volatility trading in the equity arena (if we ignore the 35 mio USD short vega position by LTCM).

“Dispersion desks can handle significant volatility risks in the same way that a basket desk can handle extremely large deltas per instrument or a cap/floor vs. swaption trader can handle extremely large volatility risks per underlying. As a matter of fact, a dispersion trader is essentially a cap/floor vs. swaptions trader, albeit somewhat less structured. Dispersion traders can come into a single stock and sometimes sell signifcant vegas (read: millions) before anyone knows what is happening.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Lecture 5: Volatility and Variance Swaps

04 Mar 2015

Article by: Jim Gatheral, Merrill Lynch
Published by: Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
Date: 2001

“Although variance and volatility swaps are relatively recent innovations, there is already significant literature describing these contracts and the practicalities of hedging them.

“In fact, a variance swap is not really a swap at all but a forward contract on the realized annualized variance.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Dispersion: Measuring Market Opportunity

10 Feb 2015

Article by: Tim Edwards PhD, Craig J. Lazzara CFA
Published by: McGraw Hill Financial
Date: Dec 2013

“With apologies to Jane Austen, it is a truth universally acknowledged that a portfolio manager in control of a fortune must be in want of diversification. But what does it mean to say that a particular index (or portfolio) is diversified? Or more diversified than another, or more now than it was before? In order to speak meaningfully about the internal diversity of an index and its variation over time, quantitative metrics are required. The most commonly encountered is the correlation statistic, but correlations contain critical and unavoidable flaws. It turns out that another measure—asset dispersion—has strong qualifications as a complementary tool.

“In what follows, we’ll show how dispersion can be used to examine the connection between active management performance and the idiosyncrasies present within underlying markets. We’ll also demonstrate other interesting uses of dispersion, which is well-suited to address questions regarding the importance of various risk factors and exposures.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Intraday Volatility Analysis on S&P 500 Stock Index Future

02 Feb 2015

Article by: Hong Xie, Jian Li
From: Brunel University
Published by: International Journal of Economics and Finance
Date: 2010

“This paper analysed intraday volatility by S&P 500 stock index future product and basic on the high frequency
trading strategy. The processes of the model are the GARCH series which including GARCH (1, 1), EGARCH
and IGARCH, moreover run such models again by GARCH-In-Mean process. The result presented that
EGARCH model is the preferred one of intraday volatility estimation in S&P500 stock index future product.
And IGARCH Model is the better one in in-the-sample estimation. Otherwise the IGARCH model is the
preferred for estimation in out-of sample and EGARCH model is the better one. GARCH (1, 1) model haven’t
good performance in the testing. Overall the result will engaged in microstructure market analysis and volatility
arbitrage in high frequency trading strategy. ”

Full article: Link

 
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