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Archive for the ‘Trading ideas’ Category

Pricing Methods and Hedging Strategies for Volatility Derivatives

28 Feb

Article by: H. Windcliff, P.A. Forsythy, K.R. Vetzal
Published by: The Journal of Derivatives
Date: 4 May 2003

“In this paper we investigate the behaviour and hedging of discretely observed volatility derivatives. We begin by comparing the effects of variations in the contract design, such as the differences between specifying log returns or actual returns, taking into consideration the impact of possible jumps in the underlying asset. We then focus on the difficulties associated with hedging these products. Naive delta-hedging strategies are ineffective for hedging volatility derivatives since they require very frequent rebalancing and have limited ability to protect the writer against possible jumps in the underlying asset. We investigate the performance of a hedging strategy for volatility swaps that establishes small, fixed positions in straddles and out-of-the-money strangles at each volatility observation.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Posted in Hedging, Trading ideas

 

Trading Volatility As An Asset Class

10 Aug

Article by: Emanuel Derman
Published by: Columbia University
Date: 10 Jun 2003

“Volatility is a useful trading hedge against all kinds of disasters. How can you trade it? Calls and puts don’t quite do it. Though calls and puts are sensitive to volatility, they are not sensitive only to volatility. How can you do better?”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Posted in Realized volatility, Trading ideas

 

No news is good news: An asymmetric model of changing volatility

18 Jul

Article by: John Y. Campbell, Ludger Hentschel
Published by: Journal of Financial Eronomics
Date: Mar 1992

“It seems plausible that an increase in stock market volatility raises required stock returns, and thus
lowers stock prices. We develop a formal model of this volatility feedback effect using a simple model
of changing variance (a quadratic generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic, or
QGARCH, model). Our model is asymmetric and helps to explain the negative skewness and excess
kurtosis of U.S. monthly and daily stock returns over the period 1926-88. We find that volatility
feedback normally has little effect on returns, but it can be important during periods of high
volatility.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Posted in Trading ideas

 

Expected Returns and Stock Volatility

04 Jun

Article by: Kenneth R. French, G. William Schwet, Robert F. Stambaugh
Published by: Journal of Financial Economics
Date: Dec 1986

“This paper examines the relation between stock returns and stock market volatility. We find
evidence that the expected market risk premium (the expected return on a stock portfolio minus
the Treasury bill yield) is positively related to the predictable volatility of stock returns. There is
also evidence that unexpected stock market returns are negatively related to the unexpected
change in the volatility of stock returns. This negative relation provides indirect evidence of a
positive relation between expected risk premiums and volatility.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Posted in Realized volatility, Trading ideas

 
 
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