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Archive for the ‘Trading ideas’ Category

Pricing of Variance and Volatility Swaps in a stochastic volatility and jump framework

22 Jan

Article by: Emil S. F. Stamp, Thomas F. Thorsen
Published by: Department of Business Studies, Aarhus University
Date: Aug 2011

“Volatility has always been considered a key measure within the field of finance. Financial markets have changed significantly over the last century and the recent financial crises have reshaped the markets in such a way that the role of volatility has become even more pronounced than it was before. The concept finds its use within important areas such as risk management, valuation and asset pricing in general, trading and many more.

“Increased market complexity have historically spurred the demand for more exotic derivatives for directional trading and hedging. In the 1990s a new asset class arose which provided the investor with the opportunity to take a direct position, not in the underlying itself, but in its volatility. With this new derivative class, volatility is no longer viewed as side product inherent in other derivatives, but as an independent asset class of its own. Variance and volatility swaps were the first and most fundamental products to be introduced in this asset class and ever since their introduction, the market for them has exploded. The products are in nature forward contracts which at maturity exchange the difference between a fixed strike and realized variance/volatility, scaled by a predetermined notional. Both are traded OTC which makes it difficult to assess the true market size but recent estimates indicate daily trading volumes of more than $35 million notional. Both market and academic interest for these products has increased in line with demand and much research has recently been devoted to develop efficient pricing methods.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 

VolContract Futures Overlay on an S&P 500 Portfolio

08 Nov

Article by: Sixiang Li
Published by: The Volatility Exchange (VolX)
Date: Oct 2012

“The Volatility Exchange™ (VolX®) plans to launch futures and options contracts based upon the realized volatility of U.S. equity indices. The futures version is named VolContract™ futures (VCs), which settle to the VolX indices known generically as RVOL™. The concept is both similar and dissimilar to the popular VIX® index and products marketed by the CBOE®. The two versions are similar in the notion that both VolX and CBOE are trying to provide volatility products to the marketplace. They are dissimilar because the VIX index and consequently VIX futures are based on implied volatility (the relative cost of options) while the RVOL index and consequently VCs are based on realized volatility (the actual, historical movement of the underlying index). VolContract futures are exchange‐tradable instruments that function similarly to a forward‐starting over‐the-counter volatility swap. They are expected to be launched on U.S. equity indices in 2013 and will come in two varieties: a 1‐month calculation period of realized volatility (1Vol™) and a 3‐month calculation period of realized volatility (3Vol™). For a detailed description of how these new instruments work, please visit the web site of The Volatility Exchange at www.volx.us. The goal of this paper is to demonstrate how a VC overlay can enhance the return and/or reduce the standard deviation of an equity portfolio. We chose the S&P 500 Total Return Index on the assumption that VolX will roll out products based upon this index.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
 

Variance swaps and CBOE S&P 500 variance futures

04 Aug

Article by: Lewis Biscamp and Tim Weithers
Published by: Chicago Trading Company, LLC
Date: ?

“Over the past several years, equity-index volatility products have emerged as an asset class in their own right. In particular, the use of variance swaps has skyrocketed in that time frame. A recent estimate from Risk magazine placed the daily volume in variance swaps on the major equity-indices to be US$5m vega (or dollar volatility risk per percentage point change in volatility). Furthermore, variance trading has roughly doubled every year for the past few years.

“Along with the proliferation of the breadth and complexity of available volatility products has come increased anxiety and confusion about how investors can most effectively and efficiently trade volatility. We offer a brief overview of the concept of variance and volatility; describe how a variance swap can be used to trade equity-index volatility; and illustrate some advantages that variance swaps offer over other volatility-based assets. Lastly, we will describe how CBOE variance futures contracts are essentially the same as an OTC variance swap.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 

Key Tools for Hedging and Tail Risk Management

09 Jul

Published by: Asset Consulting Group
Date: Feb 2012

This article analyzes five benchmarks that are designed to provide protection during declining equity markets. It discusses their performance relative to equity indices, such as the S&P 500, and describes how they might be used to enhance returns and/or lower risk.

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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